Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ADA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.424108 0.482994 0.545857 0.617823 0.697785 0.783760 0.883044
2025-11-09 0.325565 0.405461 0.497237 0.609865 0.743724 0.897066 1.085317
2025-11-16 0.257323 0.348486 0.460545 0.606993 0.791736 1.015334 1.304510
2025-11-23 0.204376 0.299802 0.424826 0.597978 0.828513 1.121505 1.518087
2025-11-30 0.171008 0.270040 0.407551 0.608146 0.888186 1.259464 1.781923
2025-12-07 0.140020 0.237651 0.381060 0.600852 0.921619 1.363815 2.008507
2025-12-14 0.118429 0.215057 0.364578 0.604288 0.968346 1.487877 2.269198
2025-12-21 0.098455 0.191215 0.342294 0.595299 0.994466 1.583005 2.494170
2025-12-28 0.088234 0.181737 0.340932 0.617637 1.068442 1.751465 2.834582
2026-01-04 0.079229 0.172716 0.338774 0.637733 1.139617 1.919428 3.183557
2026-01-11 0.069189 0.159893 0.328117 0.641881 1.184580 2.049031 3.480919
2026-01-18 0.060258 0.147556 0.316476 0.642542 1.222922 2.169531 3.769798
2026-01-25 0.052291 0.135897 0.304807 0.642303 1.260409 2.292362 4.072102
2026-02-01 0.045365 0.125144 0.293372 0.641073 1.295743 2.413579 4.378604
2026-02-08 0.039660 0.116014 0.283863 0.642253 1.335072 2.543424 4.705981
2026-02-15 0.034088 0.105999 0.271019 0.635255 1.358374 2.646684 4.993877
2026-02-22 0.030733 0.100862 0.267944 0.647456 1.418274 2.816625 5.403046
2026-03-01 0.026529 0.092508 0.256410 0.640639 1.440707 2.920865 5.703535
2026-03-08 0.023558 0.086899 0.250389 0.644796 1.484656 3.065895 6.081923
2026-03-15 0.020260 0.079504 0.238932 0.635601 1.500732 3.160129 6.373966
2026-03-22 0.018973 0.078027 0.241993 0.659418 1.586019 3.387712 6.916258
2026-03-29 0.017678 0.076223 0.243950 0.680790 1.667514 3.611966 7.461853
2026-04-05 0.015817 0.072039 0.238998 0.685246 1.713224 3.769650 7.891198